Arkansas State vs Florida International 10/4/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arkansas State winning 47% of simulations, and Florida International 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arkansas State commits fewer turnovers in 26% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Florida International wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Oku is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Kedrick Rhodes is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAINT -1

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